Reform UK Falls to Lowest Polling Support Since January 2025

Support for Reform UK has fallen to its lowest level since January of last year, according to a new survey.

In the latest YouGov poll, Nigel Farage’s party holds a 20% vote share a decline of two percentage points compared to last week.

This is the lowest figure for Reform since the pollster relaunched its ‘voting intention’ tracker in January 2025.

Meanwhile, Labour which saw a polling ‘bounce’ following the appointment of Andy Burnham as the new Prime Minister now holds a five-point lead over the Conservatives, who sit in second place.

According to the YouGov survey, Labour stands at 27% support (unchanged from last week), while Kemi Badenoch’s Conservatives are at 22% (a drop of one percentage point).

The Liberal Democrats and the Greens remain at 11% and 10%, respectively, while Rupert Lowe’s ‘Restore Britain’ has risen by one point to reach 4%.

Yesterday, Mr. Farage acknowledged that, following a “difficult summer,” Reform needs to “re-energize” its voters.

The Reform leader stated that he remains “optimistic,” despite several controversies in recent months that have coincided with a decline in his party’s popularity.

When asked whether voters are becoming disillusioned with Reform following the initial surge that followed the 2024 general election, Mr. Farage told journalists: “Markets fluctuate.”

“Markets go up, and markets go down. We’ve had a tough summer there’s no doubt about that. But are we optimistic? Yes.” “Many of our voters are currently sitting on the sidelines. Our task is to re-energize them and bring them back.

And perhaps a general election with Europe and immigration as top-tier issues might be just the thing to achieve that.”

This statement follows Mr. Burnham’s suggestion that, after the next general election, the UK could return to the EU’s free movement rules or even rejoin the EU entirely.

On Monday, at a Reform UK event held ahead of the Budget, Mr. Farage also addressed questions regarding the number of empty seats in the venue.

“As far as this hall is concerned, it is a case of staff incompetence,” he remarked, speaking after he helped unveil a rival ‘shadow’ Budget document a counterpoint to Chancellor John Healey’s fiscal showcase scheduled for this week.

“It is all well and good to advertise to businesses, but on a Monday, those who run businesses are generally quite busy.

Undoubtedly, many of those present here today have had to pay a significant price taking time out of their day to travel here to London to join us.

As you know, at our party conferences and similar events, we attract the kind of crowds that no other modern British political party manages to draw.”